SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
46.77% ( -0.52) | 27.71% ( 0.53) | 25.53% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.63% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
