Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Nepal win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%).