Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.34%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 5.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 3-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.28%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match.