MX23RW : Wednesday, July 6 06:35:14
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Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK at Bet365 Stadium
Stoke
2 - 0
Leyton Orient
Ince (43'), Campbell (89')
Duhaney (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitchell (72')

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Leyton Orient

Regardless of which team O'Neill selects on Sunday, Orient will fancy their chances of an upset. Nevertheless, Stoke should be able to come through this tie in what could prove to be a routine afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeyton Orient
49.69%25.17%25.14%
Both teams to score 51.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72%51.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88%73.11%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34%20.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77%53.22%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83%35.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08%71.92%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.68%
    Leyton Orient 25.14%
    Draw 25.17%
Stoke CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.14%

Read more!
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