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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
PN
Cardiff
2 - 1
Preston
Davies (42'), Harris (116')
Ng (63')
FT
(aet)
Johnson (54' pen.)
Browne (113')

We say: Cardiff City 1-2 Preston North End

Regardless of the teams selected by their respective managers, everything points to a competitive tie in South Wales. Although the Bluebirds will be desperate to get back to winning ways, we feel that North End could outlast their hosts, potentially prevailing in extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPreston North End
40.8%26.58%32.62%
Both teams to score 51.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87%53.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29%74.7%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36%25.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47%60.52%
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51%30.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29%66.7%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 40.8%
    Preston North End 32.62%
    Draw 26.57%
Cardiff CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.82%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 9.28%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.62%

Read more!
Read more!

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