We said: Lokomotiv Moscow 0-1 Lazio
With no fewer than three creative midfielders absent for Lokomotiv, their chances of adding to a paltry two strikes in the Europa League are certainly slim against Sarri's Lazio.
The visitors will also continue to struggle for attacking inspiration if Immobile is not deemed fit to feature from the start, but Lazio should still nick the odd goal to march to victory here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
