We said: Legia Warsaw 1-2 Spartak Moscow
With Legia currently in disarray, this is as good a time as any for Spartak to visit Stadion Wojska Polskiego, and even some men missing in attack should not deter them from leaving with maximum points.
The result in Naples may still determine their destiny, but the Russian side can guarantee some continental football in the spring, while their Polish counterparts bow out.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.43%) and 1-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
