Vitesse are in the ascendancy at the moment and will certainly take some stopping, and while we expect Groningen to push them all the way, we are backing a victory for the home team in this one, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
