Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for NEC had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
