Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
