Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Gimnasia and Estudiantes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
