Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.