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Saturday, June 25
May 18, 2022 at 11pm UK at Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional
2 - 3
Velez Sarsfield
Zabala (21'), Gigliotti (89' pen.)
Rodriguez (15'), Laborda (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Janson (45'), de los Santos (60'), Perrone (90+4')
Garayalde (33'), de los Santos (51'), Sonora (82'), Bouzat (82'), Perrone (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Velez Sarsfield vs. Platense
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Nacional 2-1 Velez Sarsfield

A draw in this one would be of no good to either side, so we expect both teams to go in search of all three points. That said, we are also backing the home team to narrowly edge out their visitors and emerge triumphant come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawVelez Sarsfield
35.5% (0.0019999999999953 0) 27.98% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 36.52% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.83% (0.022000000000006 0.02)58.17% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (0.018999999999998 0.02)78.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.012 0.01)31.14% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.47% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)66.71% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 35.49%
    Velez Sarsfield 36.51%
    Draw 27.97%
NacionalDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.7%
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 36.51%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Nacional
Saturday, May 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Fenix
Monday, May 9 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Nacional
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Nacional
Saturday, April 23 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, April 17 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 9 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, May 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-2 Tigre
Saturday, April 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, April 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, April 24 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 C. Cordoba
Wednesday, April 20 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
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