Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Wuhan win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.