Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 81.31%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 6.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.95%) and 0-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.02%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.