Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.