Stoke City 3-3 Cardiff City - Championship - October 30, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK at bet365 Stadium

Championship | Gameweek 15

Stoke

3 - 3

Cardiff

Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
41.9%	28.15%	29.95%

Both teams to score 46.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.21%

59.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.92%

80.08%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85%

28.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.16%

63.84%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.13%

35.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.36%

72.64%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 41.89%

Cardiff City 29.95%

Draw 28.14%

Stoke City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.89%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.95%

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Championship Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
P	Burnley	42	26	14	2	80	32	48	92
2	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	42	25	7	10	65	36	29	82
3	Luton Town Luton	43	20	15	8	54	37	17	75
4	Middlesbrough	43	22	8	13	82	52	30	74
5	Millwall	43	18	11	14	50	42	8	65
6	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	42	19	7	16	46	48	-2	64
7	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	42	17	12	13	54	45	9	63
8	Coventry City Coventry	43	16	15	12	53	44	9	63
9	Sunderland	43	16	14	13	61	52	9	62
10	Norwich City Norwich	43	17	11	15	56	48	8	62
11	Preston North End Preston	43	17	11	15	43	51	-8	62
12	Watford	43	15	14	14	52	50	2	59
13	Swansea City Swansea	43	16	11	16	61	61	0	59
14	Bristol City	43	13	14	16	50	53	-3	53
15	Birmingham City Birmingham	43	14	11	18	46	53	-7	53
16	Hull City	43	13	14	16	49	60	-11	53
17	Stoke City Stoke	43	14	10	19	54	50	4	52
18	Rotherham United Rotherham	42	10	16	16	46	56	-10	46
19	Cardiff City Cardiff	42	12	9	21	37	51	-14	45
20	Huddersfield Town Huddersfield	43	11	11	21	42	61	-19	44
21	Queens Park Rangers QPR	43	11	11	21	41	68	-27	44
22	Reading	43	13	10	20	44	63	-19	43
23	Blackpool	43	9	11	23	44	69	-25	38
24	Wigan Athletic Wigan	43	9	13	21	35	63	-28	37