For the first time in a while, Stoke can say that all the momentum is with them heading into a Championship fixture. Although we expect Bristol City to put up a fight in the Potteries, the home side should have enough to edge this contest by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 60.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
