SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Stoke City | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 20 | Reading | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 21 | Middlesbrough | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Blackburn Rovers | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Watford | 4 | 2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 48.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
24.21% ( 0.03) | 27.09% ( 0.02) | 48.71% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.94% ( -0.05) | 59.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.48% ( -0.04) | 79.52% ( 0.04) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.68% ( -0) | 40.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.06% ( -0) | 76.94% ( -0) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( -0.05) | 24.37% ( 0.04) |
