MX23RW : Friday, December 2 19:43:48
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Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK at City Ground
Nott'm Forest
2 - 2
Stoke
Johnson (56'), Yates (90+1')
Lowe (7'), Davis (18'), Garner (52')
Samba (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maja (68'), Baker (88' pen.)
Wilmot (33'), Clucas (81'), Allen (90+1')

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Stoke City

Having found some form in front of goal, Stoke will be confident of making an impact at the City Ground. However, we cannot back against Forest right now, and it would come as a surprise if Cooper's team did not collect all three points from a hard-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawStoke City
38.03%27.49%34.48%
Both teams to score 49.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6%56.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59%77.41%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29%28.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46%64.54%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09%30.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8%67.2%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 38.03%
    Stoke City 34.48%
    Draw 27.49%
Nottingham ForestDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 10.42%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.48%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal14121133112237
2Manchester CityMan City14102240142632
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1586129111830
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs1592431211029
5Manchester UnitedMan Utd148242020026
6Liverpool1464428171122
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton146352319421
8Chelsea146351717021
9Fulham155462426-219
10Brentford154742325-219
11Crystal Palace145451518-319
12Aston Villa155371622-618
13Leicester CityLeicester155282525017
14Bournemouth154471832-1416
15Leeds UnitedLeeds144372226-415
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham154291217-514
17Everton153571117-614
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest153481130-1913
19Southampton153391327-1412
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves15249824-1610
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