We said: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Barnsley
While Barnsley have shown fight in some of their recent outings, they still do not possess the confidence to get over the line, especially against the better teams. With that in mind, we are backing Forest to record a relatively comfortable win at the City Ground.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
