On the back of the last two matches, the last thing that Reading would have wanted was a long trip up North to face the in-form team in the division. While Reading can play without expectations, Boro should have more than enough to cruise to victory at the Riverside Stadium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
