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Jan 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK at Kenilworth Road
Luton
3 - 2
Bournemouth
Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Bournemouth

Bournemouth will be keen to prove that they are fully over their mid-season blip and we think that the Cherries will be victorious here. Luton returned to action with a confidence-boosting win over fourth tier opposition last weekend but this is a different challenge entirely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
26.94%27.04%46.02%
Both teams to score 47.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83%57.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97%78.03%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15%36.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36%73.64%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 26.94%
    Bournemouth 46.02%
    Draw 27.04%
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.94%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 12.74%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-3 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.02%

Read more!
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10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461813155245767
11Queens Park RangersQPR46199186059166
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13Preston North EndPreston461616145256-464
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15Swansea CitySwansea461613175868-1061
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17Bristol City461510216277-1555
18Cardiff CityCardiff46158235068-1853
19Hull City46149234154-1351
20Birmingham CityBirmingham461114215075-2547
21Reading46138255487-3341
RPeterborough UnitedPeterborough46910274387-4437
RDerby CountyDerby461413194553-834
RBarnsley46612283373-4030
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