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Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK at Pride Park
Derby
2 - 1
Fulham
Plange (51'), Adarabioyo (73' og.)
Thompson (33'), Lawrence (61'), Allsop (89'), Cashin (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carvalho (20')
Bryan (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-0 Fulham
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Fulham

Given Derby's home form, it is difficult to rule out the Rams against any second-tier opponents at Pride Park. However, defeat for Fulham in their last game is the worst thing that could have happened for the East Midlands side, and the inevitable reaction from their opponents should lead to an away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawFulham
23.36%25.12%51.52%
Both teams to score 49.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53%37.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.25%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59%20.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16%52.84%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 23.36%
    Fulham 51.52%
    Draw 25.11%
Derby CountyDrawFulham
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.36%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 12.15%
0-2 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-3 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 2%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 51.52%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Derby
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 3-1 Derby
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Derby
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Fulham 1-3 Coventry
Sunday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Fulham
Wednesday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Fulham
Tuesday, March 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Fulham
Saturday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-5 Fulham
Tuesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
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