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May 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK at Pride Park
Derby
0 - 1
Cardiff

Thompson (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hugill (55')
Ng (69'), Harris (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-0 Cardiff City

Derby may be dropping out of the Championship, but Rooney and his players are doing so with plenty of pride and we think the Rams will end on a high with victory on home turf. Only Barnsley are on worse form than Cardiff and the Bluebirds are unlikely to put up much of a fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCardiff City
46.7%25.63%27.67%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62%51.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8%73.2%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7%55.3%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85%33.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24%69.76%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 46.7%
    Cardiff City 27.67%
    Draw 25.63%
Derby CountyDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 9.23%
2-0 @ 8.36%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.7%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.29%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 27.67%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 0-2 Derby
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-3 Bristol City
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-0 Derby
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Fulham
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Derby
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Luton
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Cardiff
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia24129341182345
2New York City FCNY City23126543241942
3CF MontrealMontreal2412484039140
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls2410773830837
5Columbus Crew238963126533
6FC CincinnatiCincinnati248884043-332
7New England RevolutionNew England237973534130
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