We said: Cardiff City 1-0 Peterborough United
Taking into consideration Peterborough's goals record away from home, they are unlikely to get on the scoresheet this week, in what could be a low-scoring affair.
Cardiff will be confident after two Championship wins on the bounce, and will know that three points will put them in a strong position to climb away from the relegation-threatened pack.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
