MX23RW : Thursday, June 23 19:58:12
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Sep 18, 2021 at 3pm UK at Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff
0 - 1
Bournemouth

Harris (36'), Nelson (45+1'), Bacuna (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Billing (54')
Christie (24'), Lerma (52'), Smith (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.79%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bournemouth in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBournemouth
28.04%28.17%43.79%
Both teams to score 45.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.44%60.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.34%80.66%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21%37.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43%74.56%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5%27.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37%63%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 28.04%
    Bournemouth 43.78%
    Draw 28.16%
Cardiff CityDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 28.04%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 13.41%
0-2 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-3 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 3.63%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.2%
1-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 43.78%

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