MX23RW : Sunday, August 14 02:42:50
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Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City
2 - 3
Sunderland
Weimann (10'), Martin (51')
Williams (27'), Sykes (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simms (4', 53'), Stewart (72')
Evans (1'), Cirkin (20')

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Sunderland

With a competitive under their belts, both teams will feel confident of retaining their concentration for longer than they did last week. Nevertheless, with that in mind, we can only see a low-scoring draw between two evenly-matched sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSunderland
32.72% (-1.912 -1.91) 25.81% (-0.29 -0.29) 41.46% (2.199 2.2)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.488 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08% (0.834 0.83)49.92% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.09% (0.74 0.74)71.91% (-0.74300000000001 -0.74)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.794 -0.79)28.82% (0.793 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (-1.001 -1)64.68% (0.998 1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (1.517 1.52)23.85% (-1.52 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (2.128 2.13)58.04% (-2.13 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 32.72%
    Sunderland 41.46%
    Draw 25.8%
Bristol CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.492 -0.49)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.433 -0.43)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.233 -0.23)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.72%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.277 0.28)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.373 0.37)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.308 0.31)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.315 0.32)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.17 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.161 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.46%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, July 19 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 3-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, July 19 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Bristol City
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, July 12 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Coventry
Sunday, July 31 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Sunderland
Monday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-2 Sunderland
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Sunderland
Wednesday, July 13 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
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