SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Wigan Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Bristol City | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Rotherham United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Swansea City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Sunderland |
32.72% ( -1.91) | 25.81% ( -0.29) | 41.46% ( 2.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% ( 0.83) | 49.92% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% ( 0.74) | 71.91% ( -0.74) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.79) | 28.82% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.32% ( -1) | 64.68% ( 1) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( 1.52) | 23.85% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.96% ( 2.13) | 58.04% ( -2.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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