With both clubs having endured their own issues all season, this match feels like a difficult one to call. However, the home side may just have enough to claim all three points, potentially during the latter stages when the Royals may attempt to shut up shop for a draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.
