Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bournemouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.
