Regardless of their form and lack of consistency, this is the kind of match that Bristol City will feel like they should be winning. However, we are backing the Seasiders to come through in a tight contest, keeping themselves interested in the playoff race in the process.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
