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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
B
Blackburn
2 - 1
Barnsley
Rothwell (24'), Brereton Diaz (65')
Lenihan (67'), Gallagher (83'), Kaminski (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morris (45+1')
Benson (64')

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-0 Barnsley

While the Championship can be remarkably unpredictable at times, this game surely does not fit into that category. At the same time that Barnsley are struggling for points, Blackburn have been dominant, and we expect Rovers to cruise to victory at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBarnsley
51.45%24.32%24.23%
Both teams to score 53.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44%48.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32%70.68%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14%18.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67%50.32%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53%34.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82%71.18%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 51.45%
    Barnsley 24.23%
    Draw 24.32%
Blackburn RoversDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.45%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.92%
1-2 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 24.23%

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