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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
ML
Birmingham
2 - 2
Millwall
Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-2 Millwall

While the pressure will be on playoff-chasing Millwall to claim maximum points, there is also plenty of pressure on Birmingham, with their supporters desperate to see a response to their heavy defeat on Monday. Millwall have fared better on home soil this season, but we can see them ending a four-game winless away run with victory over their out-of-form counterparts on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
30.57%27.77%41.66%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76%58.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12%78.87%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43%34.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71%71.29%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.05%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 30.56%
    Millwall 41.66%
    Draw 27.77%
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.56%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 7.92%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 6-1 Birmingham
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-4 Coventry
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 West Brom
Sunday, April 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Hull City
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 4-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Swansea
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Championship
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