With survival on the line, this game should be a nervy and tense affair with both sides likely to be cautious with their approach. Reading have more quality but Barnsley have been hard to beat at Oakwell recently so we think that it will end level.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.93%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
