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Friday, July 22
May 3, 2022 at 8pm UK at Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal
2 - 3
Liverpool
Dia (3'), Coquelin (41')
Capoue (63'), Lo Celso (81'), Torres (85')
Capoue (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fabinho (62'), Diaz (67'), Mane (74')
Alexander-Arnold (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

We said: Villarreal 0-1 Liverpool (Liverpool win 3-0 on aggregate)

Stepping out onto the Ceramica turf has been a difficult proposition for a plethora of sides in recent months, but Villarreal offered little to nothing in attack at Anfield and have been hit with injuries to the forward line at the worst possible time. While Liverpool may find it slightly trickier to assert their dominance away from their Anfield fortress, a refreshed side looking almost unstoppable right now should book their spot in the final with minimal difficulty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawLiverpool
25.48%26.66%47.86%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3%56.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35%77.65%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16%37.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39%74.61%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27%23.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14%57.86%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 25.48%
    Liverpool 47.86%
    Draw 26.66%
VillarrealDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 8.73%
2-1 @ 6.1%
2-0 @ 4.24%
3-1 @ 1.98%
3-2 @ 1.42%
3-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 12.91%
0-2 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-3 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-4 @ 1.6%
1-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.86%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Villarreal
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, April 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Valencia
Tuesday, April 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, April 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, April 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Newcastle 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, April 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Sunday, April 24 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Man Utd
Tuesday, April 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-3 Liverpool
Saturday, April 16 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 3-3 Benfica
Wednesday, April 13 at 8pm in Champions League
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