Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NS Mura would win this match.
