Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
