Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
