Mainz 05 1-2 Union Berlin - Bundesliga - October 3, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Union Berlin
35.06%	27.71%	37.23%

Both teams to score 48.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.82%

57.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96%

78.04%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08%

30.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79%

67.22%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.43%

29.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.4%

65.6%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 35.06%

Union Berlin 37.23%

Draw 27.7%

Mainz 05	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.06% Total : 35.06%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.23%