Stuttgart certainly have more to play for in this game and will be desperate for three points to increase their lead over the bottom three, but they face a tough test.
Given the absences they are dealing with, we opt for a draw on Saturday, with Mainz also likely seeing the meeting as a good opportunity to add to their points tally.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
