We are predicting Koln to continue their fine home form by recording a solid win to cap off a successful start to the season for them, whilst piling more misery on their struggling hosts.
The visitors remain without a number of players and it has hampered them for much of this campaign so far, so it is difficult to see them picking up any points against a strong Koln side on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.9%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
