The return of Kalajdzic could be a huge boost for the visitors and could see them get on the scoresheet, but we still expect Hoffenheim to have too much for them and condemn them to yet another defeat, albeit a narrow one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 58.44%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.84% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.
