MX23RW : Sunday, September 18 11:05:07
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May 28, 2022 at 11pm UK at Estadio do Morumbi
Sao Paulo
2 - 2
Ceara
Calleri (8'), Nestor (42')
Anderson (34'), Rafinha (64'), Gomes (66')
Gomes (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cleber (37'), Mendoza (71')
Ribeiro (16'), Richardson (20'), Junior (44'), Mendoza (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Sao Paulo vs. America Mineiro
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Goias vs. Ceara
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Sao Paulo 2-0 Ceara

Despite there being five successive 1-1 draws in previous meetings between these two sides, we can see there being a winner on Saturday, with hosts Sao Paulo surely having enough in them to record all three points. The home side were able to rest all of their first 11 in the week, and head into the game on the back of some solid form following an excellent start to the campaign, whilst the visitors head to Sao Paulo following a tiring trip to Argentina in midweek, and with some questionable form in the Brasileiro so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawCeara
60.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 23.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 15.22% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.71% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)57.79% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)78.52% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)18.77% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)50.16% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)84.57%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 60.9%
    Ceara 15.22%
    Draw 23.86%
Sao PauloDrawCeara
1-0 @ 15.65%
2-0 @ 13.1%
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 60.9%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.51% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 15.22%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Ayacucho
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Wilstermann
Friday, May 20 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, May 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, May 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 0-2 Ceara
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Santos 0-0 Ceara
Saturday, May 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 6-0 General Caballero JLM
Tuesday, May 17 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 2-2 Flamengo
Saturday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Ceara
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 3-0 Deportivo
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras26159243192454
2InternacionalInternacional261210441251646
3FlamengoFlamengo26136741221945
4Fluminense26136740301045
5Corinthians2612863025544
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2612773129243
7Atletico Mineiro27101073430440
8America MineiroAmerica Mineiro26106102225-336
9GoiasGoias269982932-336
10Botafogo2797112730-334
11SantosSantos2681082924534
12BragantinoBragantino268993633333
13Sao Paulo2661373331231
14CearaCeara2661372626031
15FortalezaFortaleza2686122428-430
16Coritiba2784152843-1528
17Avai2777132639-1328
18Cuiaba2668121725-826
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2657142340-1722
20JuventudeJuventude2639142044-2418
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6Queens Park RangersQPR104331411315
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8Rotherham UnitedRotherham9351126614
9Bristol City104241916314
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13Millwall104151114-313
14Stoke CityStoke103341111012
15Preston North EndPreston1026234-112
16Swansea CitySwansea103341012-212
17Birmingham CityBirmingham10334810-212
18Cardiff CityCardiff10325711-411
19Blackpool103251015-511
20Hull City103251121-1011
21West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom101721514110
22Middlesbrough102441315-210
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24Coventry CityCoventry7034713-63
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