Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
