Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
