SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Ceara | 17 | 1 | 21 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 16 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Avai | 17 | -8 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Corinthians | 17 | 2 | 29 |
| 4 | Atletico Mineiro | 16 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 17 | 3 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
27.39% ( -0.91) | 25.92% ( -0.48) | 46.69% ( 1.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.3% ( 1.37) | 52.7% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% ( 1.16) | 74.34% ( -1.16) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.93% ( 0.01) | 34.07% ( -0.01) |
