MX23RW : Saturday, November 12 20:55:52
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Jul 24, 2022 at 3pm UK at Estádio da Ressacada
Avai
1 - 2
Flamengo
Chaves (48')
Silva (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (55', 84')
Bruno (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Avai
Wednesday, July 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Avai 0-2 Flamengo

Avai face the stern test of taking on a rampant Flamengo side who are currently in red-hot form. The Rubro-Negro have won seven of their last eight games in all competitions and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Avai had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
AvaiDrawFlamengo
27.07% (-0.296 -0.3) 25.67% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 47.27% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 51.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (0.114 0.11)51.89% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (0.099999999999998 0.1)73.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (-0.173 -0.17)33.89% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43% (-0.188 -0.19)70.57% (0.191 0.19)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.215 0.22)21.95% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (0.325 0.33)55.24% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Avai 27.07%
    Flamengo 47.27%
    Draw 25.66%
AvaiDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.36% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Avai
Wednesday, July 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Avai
Saturday, July 9 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 3 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Avai
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Flamengo
Sunday, July 10 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 7-1 Tolima
Thursday, July 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Flamengo
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras372312266244281
2InternacionalInternacional371913555312470
3Fluminense372071062412167
4Corinthians37181184435965
5FlamengoFlamengo371881159372262
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR371510124548-355
7Atletico Mineiro371413104437755
8Botafogo37158144140153
9America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37157153939052
10FortalezaFortaleza371410134439552
11Sao Paulo371215105142951
12SantosSantos371211144439547
13GoiasGoias371113134049-946
14BragantinoBragantino371111154958-944
15Coritiba37126193858-2042
16Cuiaba37911172941-1238
17Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO37811183856-1835
18CearaCeara37616153040-1034
19Avai3788213259-2732
20JuventudeJuventude37313212865-3722
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