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Jul 20, 2022 at 11.30pm UK at Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR
4 - 1
Atletico GO
Cuello (9'), Canobbio (14'), Terans (49'), Cittadini (90+5')
Cuello (71'), Terans (84'), Roque (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kelvin (72')

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-0 Atletico Goianiense

Because of the league positioning that these two teams have right now, it is the hosts who will be the heavy favourites in a bid to pick up the victory here. That is something that they should do as well considering the quality of their squad, and the fact that they have been more dominant throughout the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Goianiense
52.43% (-0.202 -0.2) 25.33% (0.126 0.13) 22.23% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.26 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (-0.392 -0.39)54.43% (0.395 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (-0.327 -0.33)75.8% (0.33 0.33)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)20.77% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (-0.38 -0.38)53.42% (0.384 0.38)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)39.59% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.135 -0.14)76.27% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 52.42%
    Atletico Goianiense 22.23%
    Draw 25.33%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 12.92% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 52.42%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, July 16 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bahia
Wednesday, July 13 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Goias 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-3 Atletico GO
Wednesday, July 13 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-0 Olimpia (5-3 pen.)
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Olimpia 2-0 Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras372312266244281
2InternacionalInternacional371913555312470
3Fluminense372071062412167
4Corinthians37181184435965
5FlamengoFlamengo371881159372262
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR371510124548-355
7America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37157153939052
8FortalezaFortaleza371410134439552
9Atletico Mineiro361313104137452
10Sao Paulo371215105142951
11Botafogo36148143840-250
12SantosSantos361211134436847
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14BragantinoBragantino371111154958-944
15Coritiba37126193858-2042
16Cuiaba36911162938-938
17Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO37811183856-1835
18CearaCeara37616153040-1034
19Avai3788213259-2732
20JuventudeJuventude37313212865-3722
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