Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bragantino in this match.
