Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Avai.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 America Mineiro
Friday, July 29 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, July 29 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Coritiba | 19 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 | America Mineiro | 19 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Avai | 19 | -10 | 21 |
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | America Mineiro | 19 | -9 | 21 |
| 16 | Avai | 19 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 19 | -6 | 20 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Avai had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Avai |
56.47% ( 0.89) | 24.6% ( -0.33) | 18.93% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 45.38% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
